Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nieciecza · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nieciecza are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mura are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nieciecza hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nieciecza holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nieciecza
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00