GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/29/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nieciecza · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nieciecza are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Miedz Legnica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nieciecza hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the I Liga, while Nieciecza holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nieciecza

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NiecieczaDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Miedz LegnicaWWWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NiecieczaMiedz Legnica
66.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence77.8
100.0Form44.4
86.5Power53.1
1.58xG0.97
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