Niecieczavs
Lechia Gdansk
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nieciecza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nieciecza 2-1 Lechia Gdansk
Original prediction
Nieciecza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.1% | 52.9% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.6% | 24.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.3% | 22.9% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Nieciecza
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20