Nicevs
Strasbourg
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Original prediction
Nice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 40.7% | 37.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.5% | 26.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.8% | 36.8% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Nice
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Nice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NiceWLDLD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StrasbourgLDWWL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NiceStrasbourg
20.0Attack66.7
60.0Defence33.3
33.3Form46.7
40.6Power48.5
1.38xG1.45