Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nice are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while SC Braga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Braga hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (28.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Braga holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40