GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Nice are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (28.3 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Sociedad

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NiceWLWDL

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real SociedadDLLDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NiceReal Sociedad
29.2Attack61.1
33.3Defence52.8
12.5Form55.6
28.3Power57.0
0.92xG2.32
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