Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nice are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rangers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rangers hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (28.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00