Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Nice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AS Roma are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (28.3 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20