Newtown AFCvs
Penybont
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/12/2023, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penybont · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Newtown AFC are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Penybont are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penybont hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Premier League, while Penybont holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penybont
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 3.50/0.50
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25