Newtown AFCvs
Caerphilly Athletic
SCHEDULEDWales · Welsh Cup · 11/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newtown AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Newtown AFC
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Newtown AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Newtown AFCWDWLW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Caerphilly AthleticWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newtown AFCCaerphilly Athletic
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power80.3
2.35xG1.68