Newtown AFCvs
Aberystwyth Town
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/26/2023, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newtown AFC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Newtown AFC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Aberystwyth Town are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Newtown AFC hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Premier League, while Newtown AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newtown AFC
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Newtown AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/2.50