GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/26/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newtown AFC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Newtown AFC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Aberystwyth Town are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Newtown AFC hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Premier League, while Newtown AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newtown AFC

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Newtown AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newtown AFCLLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Aberystwyth TownLL

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/2.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Newtown AFCAberystwyth Town
49.5Attack28.1
48.5Defence40.6
44.4Form28.1
47.7Power34.8
1.98xG0.77
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