Newry City AFCvs
Newington Youth
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newington Youth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newry City AFC 0-2 Newington Youth
Original prediction
Newington Youth
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.0% | 36.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 24.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.6% | 39.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Newington Youth
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Newington Youth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80