GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Loughgall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Newry City AFC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Loughgall are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Loughgall hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (20.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the Premiership, while Loughgall holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Loughgall

Probability

66.5%

Model confidence

66.5%

Loughgall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newry City AFCWWWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LoughgallWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Newry City AFCLoughgall
22.8Attack52.6
13.2Defence40.4
14.9Form39.5
20.9Power45.1
0.95xG2.46
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