Newry City AFCvs
Dundela
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newry City AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newry City AFC 3-1 Dundela
Original prediction
Newry City AFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.0% | 41.0% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.7% | 26.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.2% | 32.8% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Newry City AFC
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Newry City AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00