Newry City AFCvs
Annagh United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annagh United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newry City AFC 1-1 Annagh United
Original prediction
Annagh United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 28.6% | 24.3% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 23.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.6% | 52.0% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Annagh United
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Annagh United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00