Newrozvs
Al Minaa Basra
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newroz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Newroz 0-0 Al Minaa Basra, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Newroz 2-0 Al Minaa Basra
Original prediction
Newroz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 47.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 30.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.2% | 22.1% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
Newroz 0–0 Al Minaa Basra
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Newroz
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Newroz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NewrozWDWWW
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Al Minaa BasraWDLDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NewrozAl Minaa Basra
40.7Attack37.0
81.5Defence63.0
55.6Form44.4
60.1Power49.3
1.02xG0.52