GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/17/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Ham United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Newport County are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while West Ham United U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham United U21 hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 79.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the EFL Trophy, while West Ham United U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Ham United U21

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

West Ham United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newport CountyLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
West Ham United U21LLLWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Newport CountyWest Ham United U21
22.2Attack86.7
77.8Defence80.0
33.3Form80.0
45.5Power79.9
1.12xG2.00
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