Newport CountyvsExeter City

Newport County are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Exeter City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Newport County hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 17.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Newport County holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.