Newport CountyvsCheltenham

Newport County are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cheltenham are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Newport County hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 11.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Newport County holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.