Newport Countyvs
Bristol Rovers
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/14/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Newport County are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bristol Rovers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Newport County holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newport County
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Newport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40