Newport CountyvsArsenal U21

Newport County are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Arsenal U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newport County hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Newport County holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.