GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Newport City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Swansea University are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Swansea University hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 9.8% confidence, a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.0%

Model confidence

9.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newport CityLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Swansea UniversityWW

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Newport CitySwansea University
83.3Attack100.0
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
59.3Power97.0
1.77xG1.87
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