Newport Cityvs
Carmarthen Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/8/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newport City 1-2 Carmarthen Town
Original prediction
Newport City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Newport City
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Newport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Newport CityWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Carmarthen TownWLLWL
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Newport CityCarmarthen Town
83.3Attack100.0
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form100.0
59.3Power83.3
2.01xG1.94