Newport Cityvs
Baglan Dragons
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newport City 0-1 Baglan Dragons
Original prediction
Newport City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Newport City
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Newport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Newport CityWLWLL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Baglan DragonsWLDDL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Newport CityBaglan Dragons
100.0Attack11.1
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form44.4
74.0Power43.8
2.15xG1.13