GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

H&W Welders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Newington Youth are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while H&W Welders are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and H&W Welders hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Championship, while H&W Welders holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

H&W Welders

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

H&W Welders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newington YouthWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
H&W WeldersWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newington YouthH&W Welders
57.0Attack61.4
40.4Defence44.7
45.6Form49.1
48.6Power52.3
2.03xG2.05
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