Newington Youthvs
Ballinamallard United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newington Youth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newington Youth 4-0 Ballinamallard United
Original prediction
Newington Youth
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.3% | 43.8% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.1% | 24.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.6% | 31.7% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Newington Youth
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Newington Youth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40