Newington Youthvs
Ards
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newington Youth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newington Youth 0-2 Ards
Original prediction
Newington Youth
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.1% | 47.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 25.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.1% | 26.7% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Newington Youth
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Newington Youth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80