GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/3/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Newells Old Boys are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Velez Sarsfield holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Velez Sarsfield

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newells Old BoysDLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Velez SarsfieldWWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysVelez Sarsfield
31.7Attack38.1
46.7Defence76.2
31.7Form60.3
39.1Power61.0
0.46xG1.20
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