GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/3/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newells Old Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Newells Old Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Santos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Newells Old Boys hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Newells Old Boys holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newells Old Boys

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Newells Old Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newells Old BoysDLWLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
SantosWWDDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Newells Old BoysSantos
50.0Attack66.7
75.0Defence63.0
70.8Form59.3
67.4Power63.4
1.21xG1.00
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