Newells Old Boysvs
Lanus
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Newells Old Boys 0-0 Lanus, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Newells Old Boys 0-0 Lanus
Original prediction
Lanus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 34.3% | 28.2% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 32.0% | 31.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 33.6% | 40.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
Newells Old Boys 0–0 Lanus
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Lanus
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Lanus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Newells Old BoysWDDDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LanusWWWLD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysLanus
33.3Attack38.3
55.1Defence67.9
39.7Form49.4
45.0Power52.9
0.68xG0.97