Newells Old Boysvs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/9/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Newells Old Boys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Corinthians are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newells Old Boys hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00