GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/18/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newells Old Boys · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Newells Old Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Blooming are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Newells Old Boys hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 24.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Newells Old Boys holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newells Old Boys

Probability

75.7%

Model confidence

75.7%

Newells Old Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newells Old BoysLWDWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
BloomingWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Newells Old BoysBlooming
50.0Attack28.6
75.0Defence19.0
70.8Form19.0
67.4Power24.4
2.29xG0.46
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