Newells Old BoysvsA. Italiano

Newells Old Boys are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while A. Italiano are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Newells Old Boys hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Newells Old Boys holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.