Newell's Old Boys Res.vs
Rosario Central Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newell's Old Boys Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Newell's Old Boys Res. 0-0 Rosario Central Res., with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Newell's Old Boys Res. 3-0 Rosario Central Res.
Original prediction
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 39.8% | 37.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.3% | 30.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 30.9% | 31.2% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Newell's Old Boys Res. 0–0 Rosario Central Res.
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Newell's Old Boys Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60