Newell's Old Boys Res.vs
Platense Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newell's Old Boys Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Newell's Old Boys Res. 1-0 Platense Res., with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Newell's Old Boys Res. 2-1 Platense Res.
Original prediction
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 53.9% | 49.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.6% | 29.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 19.4% | 21.1% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Projected Score
Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–0 Platense Res.
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Newell's Old Boys Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40