GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newell's Old Boys Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Newell's Old Boys Res. 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Res., with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Newell's Old Boys Res. 0-2 Deportivo Riestra Res.

Original prediction

Newell's Old Boys Res.

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8049.9%40.0%-9.9 pts
Draw3.1928.1%30.6%2.4 pts
Away4.0921.9%29.4%7.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.9 pts

Projected Score

Newell's Old Boys Res. 0–0 Deportivo Riestra Res.

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Newell's Old Boys Res.

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Newell's Old Boys Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newell's Old Boys Res.LLWDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo Riestra Res.DLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Newell's Old Boys Res.Deportivo Riestra Res.
42.7Attack45.8
66.7Defence65.3
53.3Form45.8
55.8Power52.8
0.96xG0.83
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