Argentina · Reserve League · 2/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newell's Old Boys Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Newell's Old Boys Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Defensa y Justicia Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Newell's Old Boys Res. hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Reserve League, while Newell's Old Boys Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
14.1%
Newell's Old Boys Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00