Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newcastle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newcastle 1-3 Everton
Original prediction
Newcastle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Newcastle
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
10.4%
Newcastle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NewcastleWLWDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EvertonLLLDD
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NewcastleEverton
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60