Newcastle United U21vs
Fulham U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newcastle United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newcastle United U21 0-4 Fulham U21
Original prediction
Newcastle United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.8% | 37.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.3% | 35.4% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Newcastle United U21
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Newcastle United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40