GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 3/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Newcastle Jets II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Northern Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Tigers hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Northern Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Tigers

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

9.6%

Northern Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newcastle Jets IIDWDLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Northern TigersDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Newcastle Jets IINorthern Tigers
59.5Attack58.3
27.4Defence66.7
33.3Form63.1
41.8Power63.3
1.22xG2.52
View match centre →