GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 4/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newcastle Jets II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Newcastle Jets II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Mt Druitt Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Newcastle Jets II hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Newcastle Jets II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newcastle Jets II

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Newcastle Jets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newcastle Jets IIDDWDL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Mt Druitt TownLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newcastle Jets IIMt Druitt Town
59.5Attack39.3
27.4Defence32.1
33.3Form25.0
41.8Power34.8
2.70xG1.56
View match centre →