Newcastle Croatia FCvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 7/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Newcastle Croatia FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20