GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Newcastle Croatia FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newcastle Croatia FCLWWWL

GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Lake MacquarieWWWLW

GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Newcastle Croatia FCLake Macquarie
83.3Attack100.0
31.5Defence55.6
61.1Form75.9
59.9Power73.6
2.39xG3.68
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