GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/17/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newcastle Croatia FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Newcastle Croatia FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Cessnock City Hornets are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newcastle Croatia FC hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the NNSW League 1, while Newcastle Croatia FC holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newcastle Croatia FC

Probability

70.6%

Model confidence

7.4%

Newcastle Croatia FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Newcastle Croatia FCWLWLL

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsDLLDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newcastle Croatia FCCessnock City Hornets
83.3Attack53.7
31.5Defence25.9
61.1Form33.3
59.9Power39.1
4.41xG1.97
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