Friendlies
Tuesday, 9 September 2025Updated today
N

New Zealand

Home
vs
A

Australia

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Australia38%
Draw31%
New Zealand31%
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
New Zealand
31%
Draw
31%
Australia
38%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
New Zealand31%
Draw31%
Australia38%

Australia leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

New Zealand head into this in Friendlies fixture in unknown form, while Australia arrive in unknown form.

New Zealand have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Australia have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between New Zealand and Australia in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Australia to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: New Zealand 3070%, Draw 3100%, Australia 3830%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win New Zealand vs Australia?

GoalVio's model predicts Australia to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Australia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in New Zealand vs Australia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in New Zealand vs Australia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more