New York Red Bullsvs
Sarasota Paradise
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
New York Red Bulls are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 46.3-point power-rating edge (84.8 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York Red Bulls
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/6.00