GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/28/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

New York Red Bulls are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while New England Revolution are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

9.8%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York Red BullsWLLLW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
New England RevolutionLWLLD

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
53.7Attack51.9
27.8Defence57.4
46.3Form55.6
45.0Power55.4
1.44xG2.13
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