GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/22/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New York Red Bulls are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New England Revolution are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.6% in the Leagues Cup, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

33.6%

Model confidence

33.6%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York Red BullsLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New England RevolutionWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution
33.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power59.9
1.25xG1.26
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