GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/5/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

New York Red Bulls are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Nashville SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

75.0%

Model confidence

75.0%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New York Red BullsLWWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Nashville SCWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
New York Red BullsNashville SC
53.7Attack68.4
27.8Defence73.7
46.3Form75.4
45.0Power72.7
0.89xG2.95
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