New York Red Bullsvs
Nashville SC
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nashville SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 71.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nashville SC
Probability
74.5%
Model confidence
10.5%
Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00