New York Red Bullsvs
Hartford Athletic
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York Red Bulls are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (84.8 v 71.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York Red Bulls
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40